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market-analysis

The TACO Trade Is Alive: S&P Hits Records While the World Is Literally on Fire

S&P 500 hits record highs, Philly Semi is up 37% in April alone, and oil is surging past $108. Markets are somehow the calmest thing happening right now.

Apr 28, 20261 min read

MUSNDKMSFTAAPL

market-analysis

The Fed Holds, Big Tech Earns, and Someone Brought a Shotgun to the Press Dinner — Markets Are Shrugging

The Fed's holding rates, five Mag 7 names are reporting, and China's bond yields just flipped the script on 20 years of history. Your market roadmap for the week.

Apr 26, 20261 min read

MSFTGOOGLMETA

market-analysis

S&P 500 Eyes Record Close While a War Shuts Down the World's Oil Tap — Markets Are Gaslighting Us

The S&P 500 is flirting with record highs while the biggest energy disruption in human history plays out in real time. Sure, totally normal.

Apr 25, 20261 min read

INTCNVDASPYUSO

market-analysis

Hormuz Is Broken, Intel Is Flying, and the AI Arms Race Just Got a $40B Price Tag

Intel's up 121% YTD, Google's writing $40B checks to Anthropic, and the Strait of Hormuz may never fully reopen. Normal market stuff.

Apr 24, 20261 min read

INTCGOOGLAMZNAMD

market-analysis

Tesla's Quarter Was So Good It Made the Bears Cry Into Their Short Positions

Tesla flipped from -$1.9B expected free cash flow to +$1.44B actual. The market is vibing. Iran who?

Apr 23, 20261 min read

TSLATXNIBMRIVN

market-analysis

The Strait of Hormuz Is Closed and Markets Are Still Partying Like It's Fine

The Strait of Hormuz has been closed for 8 weeks, 13M barrels/day are offline, and US futures are... rising? The market's cognitive dissonance is showing.

Apr 22, 20261 min read

TMUSHIMSALKDRI

market-analysis

S&P 500 Hits Record While the Strait of Hormuz Burns — Markets Are Either Genius or Insane

S&P 500 posts its biggest weekly gain since 2020 while Iran fires on oil tankers. Either markets know something we don't, or they've completely lost the plot.

Apr 19, 20261 min read

SPYUSOLYV

market-analysis

The Strait Is Open, the S&P Is Ripping, and Nobody Knows If Any of This Is Real

Markets are pricing in peace, not peace itself — and there's a big difference. Here's what the sentiment data is actually telling us.

Apr 18, 20261 min read

SPYRCLCCLUAL

market-analysis

Records on Records: The Market Is Vibing While Earnings Season Prepares to Reality-Check Everyone

Markets are printing records like it's therapy, but earnings season is pulling up with a list of grievances. Here's what the sentiment data is screaming.

Apr 17, 20261 min read

GEVIBKRNFLXTSLA

market-analysis

The Market Is Pricing in Peace — But Cruise Ships Are Still Stuck in the Gulf

The Nasdaq just posted 11 straight up days, the S&P is knocking on 7,000, and Allbirds pivoted to AI. Meanwhile, five cruise ships are literally stranded in the Persian Gulf.

Apr 16, 20261 min read

AAPLCRMSTZ

market-analysis

The Strait Is Closed, Oil Is At $150, And Your Doritos Already Cost $7 — Welcome To Stagflation Season

Oil at $127, gas headed to $7, and PepsiCo missing revenue by $1B two quarters in a row. The demand destruction is real and the stagflation clock is ticking.

Apr 13, 20261 min read

USOPEPSHELJPM

market-analysis

Seven Green Days and a Strait: The S&P's Ceasefire Rally Has One Very Vulnerable Chokepoint

Seven consecutive green days on the S&P 500, semiconductors leading a V-shape recovery, and JD Vance doing diplomacy. What could possibly go wrong?

Apr 12, 20261 min read

SPYMU

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