Oil at $105, Hormuz on Lock, and Your Summer Airfare Just Went Full Villain: The Week in Market Chaos
The US-Iran war hits day 27, Brent crude sits at $105, and the social sentiment tape is screaming one thing: nothing is cheap anymore
Ticker Ratings
| Ticker | Rating | Entry Price | Current | $ Gain | % Gain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTU PEABODY ENERGY CORP | buy | $38.36 | — | — | — |
| AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. | buy | $219.15 | — | — | — |
| HCC WARRIOR MET COAL, INC. | buy | $96.36 | — | — | — |
| CNXC Concentrix Corp | sell | $26.79 | — | — | — |
| ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC /UK | buy | $159.54 | — | — | — |
| KBH KB HOME | sell | $52.65 | — | — | — |
| BRZE Braze, Inc. | hold | $23.12 | — | — | — |
| EL ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC | sell | $71.46 | — | — | — |
| RTX RTX Corp | hold | $192.47 | — | — | — |
| GCT GigaCloud Technology Inc | buy | $43.94 | — | — | — |
| CAT CATERPILLAR INC | sell | $704.05 | — | — | — |
| NTGR NETGEAR, INC. | buy | $22.33 | — | — | — |
Let's just say it plainly: the Iran war is now the market. Brent crude is up ~40% since fighting began, currently trading at $105.67/barrel, with Bloomberg Economics warning it hits $154 if the Strait of Hormuz stays closed through mid-June. The OECD is already flagging US inflation potentially reaching 4.2% this year. The Fed is frozen. And long-haul airfares on Asia-Europe routes? Up 560%. That's not a typo.
The week's wildest trade: $BTU, $AMR, and $HCC ripped 8–10% after Qatar's LNG capacity reportedly took a 30% hit with a 3–5 year rebuild timeline — energy buyers are panic-rotating into coal like it's 2008. Meanwhile $CNXC cratered 23% to a record low after weak Q2 guidance and a growing AI structural threat narrative. $ARM popped 6.6% on news it's selling its own AGI chips with Meta as the first customer, projecting $15B in annual revenue within five years. KB Home slid 4% blaming the war for consumer uncertainty, which is now apparently a legitimate earnings call excuse.
On Reddit's r/investing, someone is asking if it's a bad time to move $70k from savings into ETFs — buddy, in a week where gold sold off from $5,500/oz as traders liquidated winners to cover losses, the answer is: at least you're asking.